Recent ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 75–79°F for Miami on May 20, aligning closely with May climatological norms of 73–77°F driven by the Bermuda High and moderating Gulf Stream influence. Trader emphasis on 73°F or below reflects model uncertainty in weak frontal passages and easterly flow that could briefly suppress temperatures by 2–4°F below guidance. Historical analogs show similar late-May variability from diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, while upcoming NWS updates on steering patterns and humidity will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 20?
73°F or below 50%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 20%
76-77°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 20, 2026
73°F or below
50%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
73°F or below 50%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 20%
76-77°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 20, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Обс.
50%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
9%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
20%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
20%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
10%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
5%
88-89°F
$275 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$275 Обс.
1%
92°F or higher
$23 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 75–79°F for Miami on May 20, aligning closely with May climatological norms of 73–77°F driven by the Bermuda High and moderating Gulf Stream influence. Trader emphasis on 73°F or below reflects model uncertainty in weak frontal passages and easterly flow that could briefly suppress temperatures by 2–4°F below guidance. Historical analogs show similar late-May variability from diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, while upcoming NWS updates on steering patterns and humidity will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$573Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 75–79°F for Miami on May 20, aligning closely with May climatological norms of 73–77°F driven by the Bermuda High and moderating Gulf Stream influence. Trader emphasis on 73°F or below reflects model uncertainty in weak frontal passages and easterly flow that could briefly suppress temperatures by 2–4°F below guidance. Historical analogs show similar late-May variability from diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, while upcoming NWS updates on steering patterns and humidity will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$573Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 75–79°F for Miami on May 20, aligning closely with May climatological norms of 73–77°F driven by the Bermuda High and moderating Gulf Stream influence. Trader emphasis on 73°F or below reflects model uncertainty in weak frontal passages and easterly flow that could briefly suppress temperatures by 2–4°F below guidance. Historical analogs show similar late-May variability from diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, while upcoming NWS updates on steering patterns and humidity will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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