Jakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
33°C 36%
34°C 32%
32°C 13%
35°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
36%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
34°C 32%
32°C 13%
35°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
$1,240 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$341 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$305 Обс.
1%
30°C
$282 Обс.
1%
31°C
$1,014 Обс.
3%
32°C
$837 Обс.
13%
33°C
$74 Обс.
36%
34°C
$329 Обс.
32%
35°C
$1,469 Обс.
5%
36°C
$87 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$781 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Jakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,759Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Jakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,759Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHJakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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