Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, positioning overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 20–22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, which supports the market’s leading 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 49 % implied probability while also leaving room for localized clearing that could drop readings toward 15 °C or below. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, when average lows reach 17–19 °C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. The next official 48-hour guidance update and fresh observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 20?
15°C or below 71%
25°C or higher 49%
22°C 28%
21°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 20, 2026
15°C or below
71%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
49%
15°C or below 71%
25°C or higher 49%
22°C 28%
21°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 20, 2026
15°C or below
$23 Обс.
71%
16°C
$50 Обс.
5%
17°C
$20 Обс.
5%
18°C
$0 Обс.
6%
19°C
$0 Обс.
16%
20°C
$0 Обс.
20%
21°C
$0 Обс.
21%
22°C
$0 Обс.
28%
23°C
$0 Обс.
19%
24°C
$0 Обс.
18%
25°C or higher
$22 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, positioning overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 20–22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, which supports the market’s leading 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 49 % implied probability while also leaving room for localized clearing that could drop readings toward 15 °C or below. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, when average lows reach 17–19 °C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. The next official 48-hour guidance update and fresh observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$115Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, positioning overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 20–22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, which supports the market’s leading 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 49 % implied probability while also leaving room for localized clearing that could drop readings toward 15 °C or below. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, when average lows reach 17–19 °C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. The next official 48-hour guidance update and fresh observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$115Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, positioning overnight minimum temperatures most likely between 20–22 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, which supports the market’s leading 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 49 % implied probability while also leaving room for localized clearing that could drop readings toward 15 °C or below. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, when average lows reach 17–19 °C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. The next official 48-hour guidance update and fresh observational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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