Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$117,984 Обс.
$117,984 Обс.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$117,984 Обс.
$117,984 Обс.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$7,440 Обс.
No
19°C
$11,358 Обс.
No
20°C
$10,108 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,608 Обс.
No
22°C
$8,736 Обс.
No
23°C
$11,418 Обс.
No
24°C
$8,317 Обс.
No
25°C
$14,023 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$10,591 Обс.
No
27°C
$13,301 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$20,084 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$117,984Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$117,984Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a precise daily maximum of 25°C in Tokyo on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. Stable high pressure over the Kanto region combined with light southerly flow limits vertical mixing and keeps surface temperatures within a narrow band above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Short-range mesoscale runs show minimal spread, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky insolation expected to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the verified whole-degree maximum reported by JMA at day’s end; only an improbable late-day heat burst exceeding 25°C before sunset or a measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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