Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts indicate a strong potential for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 18 to reach 28°C or above, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer subtropical air and mostly clear skies allowing maximum solar heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns and recent above-normal temperature anomalies have elevated trader confidence in the upper end of the distribution. Model runs exhibit tight consensus on peak values, though minor afternoon cloud development remains a key uncertainty that could cap readings slightly lower. Updated guidance from JMA is expected within the next 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 24%
26°C 13%
25°C 6.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
24%
28°C or higher
57%
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 24%
26°C 13%
25°C 6.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,178 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,003 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$977 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$401 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$285 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$391 Обс.
1%
24°C
$651 Обс.
1%
25°C
$272 Обс.
6%
26°C
$212 Обс.
13%
27°C
$215 Обс.
24%
28°C or higher
$315 Обс.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts indicate a strong potential for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 18 to reach 28°C or above, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer subtropical air and mostly clear skies allowing maximum solar heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns and recent above-normal temperature anomalies have elevated trader confidence in the upper end of the distribution. Model runs exhibit tight consensus on peak values, though minor afternoon cloud development remains a key uncertainty that could cap readings slightly lower. Updated guidance from JMA is expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,731Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts indicate a strong potential for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 18 to reach 28°C or above, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer subtropical air and mostly clear skies allowing maximum solar heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns and recent above-normal temperature anomalies have elevated trader confidence in the upper end of the distribution. Model runs exhibit tight consensus on peak values, though minor afternoon cloud development remains a key uncertainty that could cap readings slightly lower. Updated guidance from JMA is expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,731Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts indicate a strong potential for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 18 to reach 28°C or above, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer subtropical air and mostly clear skies allowing maximum solar heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns and recent above-normal temperature anomalies have elevated trader confidence in the upper end of the distribution. Model runs exhibit tight consensus on peak values, though minor afternoon cloud development remains a key uncertainty that could cap readings slightly lower. Updated guidance from JMA is expected within the next 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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