Recent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s May 18 daytime maximum near 28 °C, driven by a subtropical ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. Diurnal heating over the Pearl River Delta urban core, combined with typical May humidity levels near 70 %, supports this range while the risk of isolated afternoon showers introduces a modest downward bias in some model solutions. Historical climatology for mid-May shows daily highs averaging 29–30 °C, yet the current steering pattern and absence of strong southwesterly monsoon surges keep the distribution centered slightly lower. Traders are therefore weighting the 27–28 °C outcomes most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Baiyun station reading at 14:00 local time and the final 24-hour maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
28°C 27%
27°C 21%
29°C 12%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27°C
21%
28°C
27%
29°C
12%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 27%
27°C 21%
29°C 12%
26°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$754 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$83 Обс.
1%
24°C
$160 Обс.
3%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C
$12 Обс.
11%
27°C
$8 Обс.
21%
28°C
$5 Обс.
27%
29°C
$0 Обс.
12%
30°C
$1 Обс.
10%
31°C
$17 Обс.
3%
32°C or higher
$18 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s May 18 daytime maximum near 28 °C, driven by a subtropical ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. Diurnal heating over the Pearl River Delta urban core, combined with typical May humidity levels near 70 %, supports this range while the risk of isolated afternoon showers introduces a modest downward bias in some model solutions. Historical climatology for mid-May shows daily highs averaging 29–30 °C, yet the current steering pattern and absence of strong southwesterly monsoon surges keep the distribution centered slightly lower. Traders are therefore weighting the 27–28 °C outcomes most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Baiyun station reading at 14:00 local time and the final 24-hour maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,052Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s May 18 daytime maximum near 28 °C, driven by a subtropical ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. Diurnal heating over the Pearl River Delta urban core, combined with typical May humidity levels near 70 %, supports this range while the risk of isolated afternoon showers introduces a modest downward bias in some model solutions. Historical climatology for mid-May shows daily highs averaging 29–30 °C, yet the current steering pattern and absence of strong southwesterly monsoon surges keep the distribution centered slightly lower. Traders are therefore weighting the 27–28 °C outcomes most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Baiyun station reading at 14:00 local time and the final 24-hour maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,052Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s May 18 daytime maximum near 28 °C, driven by a subtropical ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. Diurnal heating over the Pearl River Delta urban core, combined with typical May humidity levels near 70 %, supports this range while the risk of isolated afternoon showers introduces a modest downward bias in some model solutions. Historical climatology for mid-May shows daily highs averaging 29–30 °C, yet the current steering pattern and absence of strong southwesterly monsoon surges keep the distribution centered slightly lower. Traders are therefore weighting the 27–28 °C outcomes most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official Baiyun station reading at 14:00 local time and the final 24-hour maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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