Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (33.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) for London's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid a cool, cloudy air mass over southeast England. The Met Office's 5:41am update projects a 16°C maximum under persistent cloud cover and light winds (gusts to 19mph), following today's 14°C high, but BBC guidance holds at 14°C with light cloud, highlighting model disagreements on insolation and overnight recovery from chilly starts around 7°C. Key differentiators include cloud thickness from western inflows and potential scattered showers (30-50% odds), which could cap peaks below 15°C; hourly updates from the Met Office and Heathrow observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow. Historical May highs average 16-17°C, but current ensemble spreads signal 1-2°C variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 16?
Highest temperature in London on May 16?
15°C 35%
14°C 32%
13°C 13%
16°C 9%
НОВЕ
$26,077 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,077 Обс.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
13%
14°C
32%
15°C
35%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 35%
14°C 32%
13°C 13%
16°C 9%
НОВЕ
$26,077 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,077 Обс.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
$8,359 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$2,638 Обс.
1%
12°C
$2,500 Обс.
3%
13°C
$1,920 Обс.
13%
14°C
$1,584 Обс.
32%
15°C
$1,810 Обс.
35%
16°C
$1,928 Обс.
9%
17°C
$1,160 Обс.
3%
18°C
$1,752 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$903 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,888 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (33.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) for London's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid a cool, cloudy air mass over southeast England. The Met Office's 5:41am update projects a 16°C maximum under persistent cloud cover and light winds (gusts to 19mph), following today's 14°C high, but BBC guidance holds at 14°C with light cloud, highlighting model disagreements on insolation and overnight recovery from chilly starts around 7°C. Key differentiators include cloud thickness from western inflows and potential scattered showers (30-50% odds), which could cap peaks below 15°C; hourly updates from the Met Office and Heathrow observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow. Historical May highs average 16-17°C, but current ensemble spreads signal 1-2°C variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,077Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (33.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) for London's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid a cool, cloudy air mass over southeast England. The Met Office's 5:41am update projects a 16°C maximum under persistent cloud cover and light winds (gusts to 19mph), following today's 14°C high, but BBC guidance holds at 14°C with light cloud, highlighting model disagreements on insolation and overnight recovery from chilly starts around 7°C. Key differentiators include cloud thickness from western inflows and potential scattered showers (30-50% odds), which could cap peaks below 15°C; hourly updates from the Met Office and Heathrow observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow. Historical May highs average 16-17°C, but current ensemble spreads signal 1-2°C variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$26,077Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (33.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) for London's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid a cool, cloudy air mass over southeast England. The Met Office's 5:41am update projects a 16°C maximum under persistent cloud cover and light winds (gusts to 19mph), following today's 14°C high, but BBC guidance holds at 14°C with light cloud, highlighting model disagreements on insolation and overnight recovery from chilly starts around 7°C. Key differentiators include cloud thickness from western inflows and potential scattered showers (30-50% odds), which could cap peaks below 15°C; hourly updates from the Met Office and Heathrow observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow. Historical May highs average 16-17°C, but current ensemble spreads signal 1-2°C variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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