Met Office guidance currently projects a maximum of 17°C for London on May 17, with an Atlantic front bringing increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers that could limit afternoon solar heating and cap the high at 16°C or 15°C. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow centers on 16–17°C, placing the observed outcome squarely within the narrow range where small variations in frontal timing or insolation directly determine the daily peak. Ensemble models show modest spread around this central forecast, leaving traders balancing the 16°C and 15°C contracts most heavily while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers. Fresh 06Z and 12Z runs on Saturday will refine the exact cloud-shield extent and any last-minute adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
16°C 37%
15°C 29%
17°C 18%
14°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
13%
15°C
29%
16°C
37%
17°C
18%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 37%
15°C 29%
17°C 18%
14°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$697 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$548 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$721 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$817 Обс.
1%
14°C
$860 Обс.
13%
15°C
$761 Обс.
29%
16°C
$781 Обс.
37%
17°C
$1,263 Обс.
18%
18°C
$782 Обс.
6%
19°C
$1,061 Обс.
1%
20°C or higher
$606 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office guidance currently projects a maximum of 17°C for London on May 17, with an Atlantic front bringing increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers that could limit afternoon solar heating and cap the high at 16°C or 15°C. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow centers on 16–17°C, placing the observed outcome squarely within the narrow range where small variations in frontal timing or insolation directly determine the daily peak. Ensemble models show modest spread around this central forecast, leaving traders balancing the 16°C and 15°C contracts most heavily while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers. Fresh 06Z and 12Z runs on Saturday will refine the exact cloud-shield extent and any last-minute adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,898Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office guidance currently projects a maximum of 17°C for London on May 17, with an Atlantic front bringing increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers that could limit afternoon solar heating and cap the high at 16°C or 15°C. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow centers on 16–17°C, placing the observed outcome squarely within the narrow range where small variations in frontal timing or insolation directly determine the daily peak. Ensemble models show modest spread around this central forecast, leaving traders balancing the 16°C and 15°C contracts most heavily while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers. Fresh 06Z and 12Z runs on Saturday will refine the exact cloud-shield extent and any last-minute adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$8,898Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCMet Office guidance currently projects a maximum of 17°C for London on May 17, with an Atlantic front bringing increasing cloud cover and scattered light showers that could limit afternoon solar heating and cap the high at 16°C or 15°C. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow centers on 16–17°C, placing the observed outcome squarely within the narrow range where small variations in frontal timing or insolation directly determine the daily peak. Ensemble models show modest spread around this central forecast, leaving traders balancing the 16°C and 15°C contracts most heavily while assigning lower probability to warmer or cooler outliers. Fresh 06Z and 12Z runs on Saturday will refine the exact cloud-shield extent and any last-minute adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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