Recent short-range forecasts from global models place Chengdu's May 18 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with trader consensus on those three outcomes. Seasonal warming has advanced the city into its hot season, where subtropical moisture and light southerly flow typically support afternoon maxima in the low 30s. Cloud cover and scattered showers remain the main variables that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Historical May averages near 28 °C provide context, but current conditions reflect the usual late-month uptick. New model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
19%
31°C
22%
32°C
21%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
30°C 19%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
$289 Обс.
1%
27°C
$110 Обс.
4%
28°C
$69 Обс.
6%
29°C
$104 Обс.
13%
30°C
$215 Обс.
19%
31°C
$147 Обс.
22%
32°C
$370 Обс.
21%
33°C
$164 Обс.
11%
34°C
$271 Обс.
3%
35°C
$166 Обс.
2%
36°C or higher
$693 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from global models place Chengdu's May 18 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with trader consensus on those three outcomes. Seasonal warming has advanced the city into its hot season, where subtropical moisture and light southerly flow typically support afternoon maxima in the low 30s. Cloud cover and scattered showers remain the main variables that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Historical May averages near 28 °C provide context, but current conditions reflect the usual late-month uptick. New model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,595Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from global models place Chengdu's May 18 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with trader consensus on those three outcomes. Seasonal warming has advanced the city into its hot season, where subtropical moisture and light southerly flow typically support afternoon maxima in the low 30s. Cloud cover and scattered showers remain the main variables that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Historical May averages near 28 °C provide context, but current conditions reflect the usual late-month uptick. New model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,595Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent short-range forecasts from global models place Chengdu's May 18 high near 30–32 °C, aligning with trader consensus on those three outcomes. Seasonal warming has advanced the city into its hot season, where subtropical moisture and light southerly flow typically support afternoon maxima in the low 30s. Cloud cover and scattered showers remain the main variables that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Historical May averages near 28 °C provide context, but current conditions reflect the usual late-month uptick. New model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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