Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 13°C at Munich Airport Station on May 16, amid overcast skies and intermittent showers from a lingering low-pressure trough over Central Europe, capping highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13°C (34.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting model spread on cloud breaks—persistent stratus could limit peaks to 12°C (16.5%), while brief clearer periods might nudge to 14°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential and shower timing; monitor DWD hourly updates and real-time observations for final resolution as uncertainty narrows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 34%
14°C 27%
12°C 17%
15°C 5.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
17%
13°C
34%
14°C
27%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 34%
14°C 27%
12°C 17%
15°C 5.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
7°C or below
$815 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$509 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$532 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$543 Обс.
1%
11°C
$327 Обс.
5%
12°C
$955 Обс.
17%
13°C
$446 Обс.
34%
14°C
$664 Обс.
27%
15°C
$704 Обс.
5%
16°C
$1,183 Обс.
2%
17°C or higher
$379 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 13°C at Munich Airport Station on May 16, amid overcast skies and intermittent showers from a lingering low-pressure trough over Central Europe, capping highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13°C (34.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting model spread on cloud breaks—persistent stratus could limit peaks to 12°C (16.5%), while brief clearer periods might nudge to 14°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential and shower timing; monitor DWD hourly updates and real-time observations for final resolution as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,056Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 13°C at Munich Airport Station on May 16, amid overcast skies and intermittent showers from a lingering low-pressure trough over Central Europe, capping highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13°C (34.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting model spread on cloud breaks—persistent stratus could limit peaks to 12°C (16.5%), while brief clearer periods might nudge to 14°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential and shower timing; monitor DWD hourly updates and real-time observations for final resolution as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$7,056Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 13°C at Munich Airport Station on May 16, amid overcast skies and intermittent showers from a lingering low-pressure trough over Central Europe, capping highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13°C (34.5% implied probability) and 14°C (29.5%), reflecting model spread on cloud breaks—persistent stratus could limit peaks to 12°C (16.5%), while brief clearer periods might nudge to 14°C. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential and shower timing; monitor DWD hourly updates and real-time observations for final resolution as uncertainty narrows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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