Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ensemble models project a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by moderating south-westerly flow and partial afternoon clearing that allows modest solar heating. This places readings slightly above the 19°C peak recorded the previous day amid lingering post-frontal maritime air. Trader positioning reflects these guidance trends, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 44.5% and 22°C at 27%, while cooler outcomes like 20°C retain 19% support due to possible persistent cloud cover. Historical May climatology at Cape Town International Airport averages 21°C highs, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 45%
22°C 28%
20°C 19%
19°C 6.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
45%
22°C
28%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 45%
22°C 28%
20°C 19%
19°C 6.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
16°C or below
$644 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$679 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$794 Обс.
1%
19°C
$831 Обс.
7%
20°C
$614 Обс.
19%
21°C
$1,276 Обс.
45%
22°C
$1,230 Обс.
28%
23°C
$863 Обс.
5%
24°C
$362 Обс.
1%
25°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$590 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ensemble models project a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by moderating south-westerly flow and partial afternoon clearing that allows modest solar heating. This places readings slightly above the 19°C peak recorded the previous day amid lingering post-frontal maritime air. Trader positioning reflects these guidance trends, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 44.5% and 22°C at 27%, while cooler outcomes like 20°C retain 19% support due to possible persistent cloud cover. Historical May climatology at Cape Town International Airport averages 21°C highs, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,265Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ensemble models project a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by moderating south-westerly flow and partial afternoon clearing that allows modest solar heating. This places readings slightly above the 19°C peak recorded the previous day amid lingering post-frontal maritime air. Trader positioning reflects these guidance trends, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 44.5% and 22°C at 27%, while cooler outcomes like 20°C retain 19% support due to possible persistent cloud cover. Historical May climatology at Cape Town International Airport averages 21°C highs, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$8,265Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ensemble models project a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Cape Town on May 16, supported by moderating south-westerly flow and partial afternoon clearing that allows modest solar heating. This places readings slightly above the 19°C peak recorded the previous day amid lingering post-frontal maritime air. Trader positioning reflects these guidance trends, with 21°C holding the highest implied probability at 44.5% and 22°C at 27%, while cooler outcomes like 20°C retain 19% support due to possible persistent cloud cover. Historical May climatology at Cape Town International Airport averages 21°C highs, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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