Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a daily maximum of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, positioning these as the dominant market outcomes. May’s autumn transition typically brings cooler maritime air from the Southern Ocean, with historical maxima averaging 18–21°C at Cape Town International Airport; the current setup lacks strong ridging or warm advection that could push readings higher. Light winds and residual cloud cover from a weak frontal passage further cap heating, while any afternoon clearing could briefly support 22°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with resolution expected via official SAWS observations at the airport station by early May 18.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 44%
21°C 34%
19°C 17%
22°C 3.0%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C
44%
21°C
34%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 44%
21°C 34%
19°C 17%
22°C 3.0%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C
44%
21°C
34%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a daily maximum of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, positioning these as the dominant market outcomes. May’s autumn transition typically brings cooler maritime air from the Southern Ocean, with historical maxima averaging 18–21°C at Cape Town International Airport; the current setup lacks strong ridging or warm advection that could push readings higher. Light winds and residual cloud cover from a weak frontal passage further cap heating, while any afternoon clearing could briefly support 22°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with resolution expected via official SAWS observations at the airport station by early May 18.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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