Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly distributes implied probabilities across 17–21°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the narrow spread in short-range weather model ensembles amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) projects a daytime high near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, while ECMWF and other global models show potential upside to 18–20°C if ridging builds and cloud breaks allow greater solar heating. Recent observations confirm cool conditions, with May 14 highs around 10–12°C following passing showers, but climatological mid-May averages of 16°C and moderating Baltic Sea influences add variability. New FMI and ECMWF updates on May 15 could refine the peak, as boundary layer mixing and urban effects in Helsinki further differentiate outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
18°C 37%
19°C 30%
17°C 19%
20°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
30%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 37%
19°C 30%
17°C 19%
20°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$577 Обс.
1%
15°C
$434 Обс.
1%
16°C
$291 Обс.
4%
17°C
$575 Обс.
19%
18°C
$521 Обс.
37%
19°C
$333 Обс.
30%
20°C
$481 Обс.
8%
21°C
$575 Обс.
5%
22°C
$127 Обс.
1%
23°C
$259 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$468 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly distributes implied probabilities across 17–21°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the narrow spread in short-range weather model ensembles amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) projects a daytime high near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, while ECMWF and other global models show potential upside to 18–20°C if ridging builds and cloud breaks allow greater solar heating. Recent observations confirm cool conditions, with May 14 highs around 10–12°C following passing showers, but climatological mid-May averages of 16°C and moderating Baltic Sea influences add variability. New FMI and ECMWF updates on May 15 could refine the peak, as boundary layer mixing and urban effects in Helsinki further differentiate outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,641Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly distributes implied probabilities across 17–21°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the narrow spread in short-range weather model ensembles amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) projects a daytime high near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, while ECMWF and other global models show potential upside to 18–20°C if ridging builds and cloud breaks allow greater solar heating. Recent observations confirm cool conditions, with May 14 highs around 10–12°C following passing showers, but climatological mid-May averages of 16°C and moderating Baltic Sea influences add variability. New FMI and ECMWF updates on May 15 could refine the peak, as boundary layer mixing and urban effects in Helsinki further differentiate outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$4,641Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly distributes implied probabilities across 17–21°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the narrow spread in short-range weather model ensembles amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) projects a daytime high near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, while ECMWF and other global models show potential upside to 18–20°C if ridging builds and cloud breaks allow greater solar heating. Recent observations confirm cool conditions, with May 14 highs around 10–12°C following passing showers, but climatological mid-May averages of 16°C and moderating Baltic Sea influences add variability. New FMI and ECMWF updates on May 15 could refine the peak, as boundary layer mixing and urban effects in Helsinki further differentiate outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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