Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport on May 14, 2026, driven by official observations confirming this peak amid a yellow alert for thunderstorms issued by Italy's Civil Protection agency. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers from a northward-moving perturbation limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating after an early afternoon maximum of 18°C before temperatures dropped to 14–16°C under rain, as reported in real-time METAR data from the airport station. This aligns with forecast model consensus from Aeronautica Militare showing maxima around 16–19°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-day quality-controlled revisions revealing a higher unlogged peak, though inherent measurement precision at official stations makes this improbable as evening data stabilizes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$71,054 Обс.
$71,054 Обс.
May 14, 2026
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$71,054 Обс.
$71,054 Обс.
May 14, 2026
18°C
$14,850 Обс.
100%
19°C
$10,967 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$14,332 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport on May 14, 2026, driven by official observations confirming this peak amid a yellow alert for thunderstorms issued by Italy's Civil Protection agency. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers from a northward-moving perturbation limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating after an early afternoon maximum of 18°C before temperatures dropped to 14–16°C under rain, as reported in real-time METAR data from the airport station. This aligns with forecast model consensus from Aeronautica Militare showing maxima around 16–19°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-day quality-controlled revisions revealing a higher unlogged peak, though inherent measurement precision at official stations makes this improbable as evening data stabilizes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$71,054Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport on May 14, 2026, driven by official observations confirming this peak amid a yellow alert for thunderstorms issued by Italy's Civil Protection agency. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers from a northward-moving perturbation limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating after an early afternoon maximum of 18°C before temperatures dropped to 14–16°C under rain, as reported in real-time METAR data from the airport station. This aligns with forecast model consensus from Aeronautica Militare showing maxima around 16–19°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-day quality-controlled revisions revealing a higher unlogged peak, though inherent measurement precision at official stations makes this improbable as evening data stabilizes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$71,054Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport on May 14, 2026, driven by official observations confirming this peak amid a yellow alert for thunderstorms issued by Italy's Civil Protection agency. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers from a northward-moving perturbation limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating after an early afternoon maximum of 18°C before temperatures dropped to 14–16°C under rain, as reported in real-time METAR data from the airport station. This aligns with forecast model consensus from Aeronautica Militare showing maxima around 16–19°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-day quality-controlled revisions revealing a higher unlogged peak, though inherent measurement precision at official stations makes this improbable as evening data stabilizes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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