Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,619 Обс.
$54,619 Обс.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,619 Обс.
$54,619 Обс.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$3,262 Обс.
No
8°C
$1,294 Обс.
No
9°C
$2,302 Обс.
No
10°C
$6,326 Обс.
No
11°C
$4,883 Обс.
No
12°C
$10,234 Обс.
No
13°C
$7,090 Обс.
Yes
14°C
$11,092 Обс.
No
15°C
$4,078 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,512 Обс.
No
17°C or higher
$1,548 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,619Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$54,619Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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