National Weather Service forecasts and supporting numerical models currently point to a daily high near 54°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 54-55°F bin as the market leader with a 42.5% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical mid-May conditions shaped by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, moderating daytime warming and keeping temperatures close to seasonal averages around 63°F. The 56-57°F range holds secondary support at 24.5% amid slight model variability in cloud cover and onshore flow, while cooler bins gain traction only if stronger marine push or lingering overnight moisture suppresses the peak. Traders weigh these short-term atmospheric factors against historical May records, with resolution hinging on official observations at the airport station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 16?
54-55°F 43%
56-57°F 25%
52-53°F 14%
50-51°F 8%
$35,275 Обс.
$35,275 Обс.
May 16, 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
43%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 43%
56-57°F 25%
52-53°F 14%
50-51°F 8%
$35,275 Обс.
$35,275 Обс.
May 16, 2026
47°F or below
$9,990 Обс.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,389 Обс.
1%
50-51°F
$4,203 Обс.
8%
52-53°F
$2,724 Обс.
14%
54-55°F
$1,787 Обс.
43%
56-57°F
$2,461 Обс.
25%
58-59°F
$2,545 Обс.
4%
60-61°F
$4,959 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,420 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,331 Обс.
<1%
66°F or higher
$1,850 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting numerical models currently point to a daily high near 54°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 54-55°F bin as the market leader with a 42.5% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical mid-May conditions shaped by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, moderating daytime warming and keeping temperatures close to seasonal averages around 63°F. The 56-57°F range holds secondary support at 24.5% amid slight model variability in cloud cover and onshore flow, while cooler bins gain traction only if stronger marine push or lingering overnight moisture suppresses the peak. Traders weigh these short-term atmospheric factors against historical May records, with resolution hinging on official observations at the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,275Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting numerical models currently point to a daily high near 54°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 54-55°F bin as the market leader with a 42.5% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical mid-May conditions shaped by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, moderating daytime warming and keeping temperatures close to seasonal averages around 63°F. The 56-57°F range holds secondary support at 24.5% amid slight model variability in cloud cover and onshore flow, while cooler bins gain traction only if stronger marine push or lingering overnight moisture suppresses the peak. Traders weigh these short-term atmospheric factors against historical May records, with resolution hinging on official observations at the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$35,275Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting numerical models currently point to a daily high near 54°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 54-55°F bin as the market leader with a 42.5% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical mid-May conditions shaped by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, moderating daytime warming and keeping temperatures close to seasonal averages around 63°F. The 56-57°F range holds secondary support at 24.5% amid slight model variability in cloud cover and onshore flow, while cooler bins gain traction only if stronger marine push or lingering overnight moisture suppresses the peak. Traders weigh these short-term atmospheric factors against historical May records, with resolution hinging on official observations at the airport station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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