Hong Kong's mid-May subtropical climate features overnight lows typically ranging 24–26°C under the influence of warm South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 27–28°C, which establish a strong thermal floor and limit extreme cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between a 30°C-or-higher minimum (49.0%) and 20°C-or-below (41.5%) because short-term variability in cloud cover, wind speed, and southwest monsoon onset can either enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward the lower band or trap heat under humid, overcast conditions to push readings above 28°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus currently favor the historical 24–26°C cluster, yet modest forecast spread in the coming 48 hours keeps both tails live ahead of the May 20 resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
30°C or higher 98%
20°C or below 77%
24°C 23%
25°C 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 20, 2026
20°C or below
77%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
15%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
23%
27°C
20%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
98%
30°C or higher 98%
20°C or below 77%
24°C 23%
25°C 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 20, 2026
20°C or below
$18 Обс.
77%
21°C
$185 Обс.
5%
22°C
$0 Обс.
7%
23°C
$0 Обс.
15%
24°C
$0 Обс.
23%
25°C
$0 Обс.
23%
26°C
$0 Обс.
23%
27°C
$0 Обс.
20%
28°C
$0 Обс.
17%
29°C
$200 Обс.
5%
30°C or higher
$23 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's mid-May subtropical climate features overnight lows typically ranging 24–26°C under the influence of warm South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 27–28°C, which establish a strong thermal floor and limit extreme cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between a 30°C-or-higher minimum (49.0%) and 20°C-or-below (41.5%) because short-term variability in cloud cover, wind speed, and southwest monsoon onset can either enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward the lower band or trap heat under humid, overcast conditions to push readings above 28°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus currently favor the historical 24–26°C cluster, yet modest forecast spread in the coming 48 hours keeps both tails live ahead of the May 20 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$426Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's mid-May subtropical climate features overnight lows typically ranging 24–26°C under the influence of warm South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 27–28°C, which establish a strong thermal floor and limit extreme cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between a 30°C-or-higher minimum (49.0%) and 20°C-or-below (41.5%) because short-term variability in cloud cover, wind speed, and southwest monsoon onset can either enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward the lower band or trap heat under humid, overcast conditions to push readings above 28°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus currently favor the historical 24–26°C cluster, yet modest forecast spread in the coming 48 hours keeps both tails live ahead of the May 20 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$426Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong's mid-May subtropical climate features overnight lows typically ranging 24–26°C under the influence of warm South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near 27–28°C, which establish a strong thermal floor and limit extreme cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between a 30°C-or-higher minimum (49.0%) and 20°C-or-below (41.5%) because short-term variability in cloud cover, wind speed, and southwest monsoon onset can either enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward the lower band or trap heat under humid, overcast conditions to push readings above 28°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus currently favor the historical 24–26°C cluster, yet modest forecast spread in the coming 48 hours keeps both tails live ahead of the May 20 resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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