Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C for the day amid cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea and a fresh easterly airstream affecting Guangdong's coast. High relative humidity (80-95%) and persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability), 23°C (29.5%), and 25°C (26.5%)—consistent with May climatological norms where urban lows average around 24°C. Recent model runs show slight tightening of the range from prior 23-26°C projections, but uncertainty persists from potential shower intensity variations; watch for the next HKO bulletin later today for refinements ahead of evening lows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
24°C 48%
23°C 32%
25°C 28%
22°C <1%
$10,700 Обс.
$10,700 Обс.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
30%
24°C
53%
25°C
27%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 32%
25°C 28%
22°C <1%
$10,700 Обс.
$10,700 Обс.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,264 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$502 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$873 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$421 Обс.
1%
23°C
$281 Обс.
30%
24°C
$110 Обс.
53%
25°C
$242 Обс.
27%
26°C
$3,992 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,261 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,478 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C for the day amid cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea and a fresh easterly airstream affecting Guangdong's coast. High relative humidity (80-95%) and persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability), 23°C (29.5%), and 25°C (26.5%)—consistent with May climatological norms where urban lows average around 24°C. Recent model runs show slight tightening of the range from prior 23-26°C projections, but uncertainty persists from potential shower intensity variations; watch for the next HKO bulletin later today for refinements ahead of evening lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,700Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C for the day amid cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea and a fresh easterly airstream affecting Guangdong's coast. High relative humidity (80-95%) and persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability), 23°C (29.5%), and 25°C (26.5%)—consistent with May climatological norms where urban lows average around 24°C. Recent model runs show slight tightening of the range from prior 23-26°C projections, but uncertainty persists from potential shower intensity variations; watch for the next HKO bulletin later today for refinements ahead of evening lows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$10,700Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C for the day amid cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea and a fresh easterly airstream affecting Guangdong's coast. High relative humidity (80-95%) and persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability), 23°C (29.5%), and 25°C (26.5%)—consistent with May climatological norms where urban lows average around 24°C. Recent model runs show slight tightening of the range from prior 23-26°C projections, but uncertainty persists from potential shower intensity variations; watch for the next HKO bulletin later today for refinements ahead of evening lows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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