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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 18

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 18

25°C 22%

26°C 21%

24°C 21%

27°C 19%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

25°C 22%

26°C 21%

24°C 21%

27°C 19%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

19°C or below

$101 Обс.

4%

20°C

$382 Обс.

1%

21°C

$281 Обс.

5%

22°C

$0 Обс.

11%

23°C

$0 Обс.

17%

24°C

$0 Обс.

21%

25°C

$0 Обс.

22%

26°C

$0 Обс.

21%

27°C

$0 Обс.

19%

28°C

$162 Обс.

1%

29°C or higher

$116 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in forecast models for Hong Kong's lowest temperature at the Observatory on May 19, split evenly between 19°C or below and 29°C or higher amid an approaching trough of low pressure noted in the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day outlook. Recent ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF diverge sharply: bearish scenarios feature cold air advection, increased cloud cover, and northerly winds driving nocturnal cooling below climatological May norms of 24°C, while bullish paths show the trough stalling or weakening under subtropical ridging, sustaining humid southerlies and urban heat for elevated minimums. No confirmed cold surge yet, but HKO's normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature forecast adds bimodal risk; watch daily updates and afternoon model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,042
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in forecast models for Hong Kong's lowest temperature at the Observatory on May 19, split evenly between 19°C or below and 29°C or higher amid an approaching trough of low pressure noted in the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day outlook. Recent ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF diverge sharply: bearish scenarios feature cold air advection, increased cloud cover, and northerly winds driving nocturnal cooling below climatological May norms of 24°C, while bullish paths show the trough stalling or weakening under subtropical ridging, sustaining humid southerlies and urban heat for elevated minimums. No confirmed cold surge yet, but HKO's normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature forecast adds bimodal risk; watch daily updates and afternoon model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,042
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «25°C» з 22%, далі «24°C» з 21%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 15, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?» — «25°C» з 22%. Наступний — «24°C» з 21%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 19?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.