Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,355 Обс.
$69,355 Обс.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,355 Обс.
$69,355 Обс.
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
$7,342 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,749 Обс.
No
28°C
$15,763 Обс.
No
29°C
$11,760 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$5,766 Обс.
No
31°C
$7,304 Обс.
No
32°C
$5,898 Обс.
No
33°C
$3,113 Обс.
No
34°C
$1,095 Обс.
No
35°C
$2,555 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$3,010 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$69,355Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$69,355Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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