Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS ensembles currently converge on a 25–27 °C daily maximum for Wuhan on May 18, with the highest implied probability on 26 °C. This range reflects the arrival of increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime solar heating over the Jianghan Plain. Mid-May climatology for the region shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so the current forecast sits near normal yet carries modest uncertainty from the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Any delay in storm development or clearer morning skies could push readings toward 27–28 °C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end near 25 °C. Final high-resolution model updates and China Meteorological Administration observations in the next 48 hours will sharpen the resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
26°C 30%
25°C 21%
28°C or higher 15%
24°C 15%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
15%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
12%
26°C 30%
25°C 21%
28°C or higher 15%
24°C 15%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
15%
25°C
21%
26°C
30%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHNumerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS ensembles currently converge on a 25–27 °C daily maximum for Wuhan on May 18, with the highest implied probability on 26 °C. This range reflects the arrival of increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime solar heating over the Jianghan Plain. Mid-May climatology for the region shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so the current forecast sits near normal yet carries modest uncertainty from the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Any delay in storm development or clearer morning skies could push readings toward 27–28 °C, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end near 25 °C. Final high-resolution model updates and China Meteorological Administration observations in the next 48 hours will sharpen the resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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