Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei’s daily maximum at 30°C on May 16 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, enabling surface heating to reach that threshold. Current observational trends and model consensus support this value as the most probable outcome, with afternoon showers expected to temper further warming. The 99.4% market-implied probability for 30°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited upside potential. Only a significant increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation earlier in the day would realistically hold the high at 29°C or allow it to exceed 31°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
30°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
$55,561 Обс.
$55,561 Обс.
May 16, 2026
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
$55,561 Обс.
$55,561 Обс.
May 16, 2026
29°C
$12,493 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$10,366 Обс.
100%
31°C or higher
$7,550 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei’s daily maximum at 30°C on May 16 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, enabling surface heating to reach that threshold. Current observational trends and model consensus support this value as the most probable outcome, with afternoon showers expected to temper further warming. The 99.4% market-implied probability for 30°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited upside potential. Only a significant increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation earlier in the day would realistically hold the high at 29°C or allow it to exceed 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$55,561Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Вікно оскарження
Фінальний
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei’s daily maximum at 30°C on May 16 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, enabling surface heating to reach that threshold. Current observational trends and model consensus support this value as the most probable outcome, with afternoon showers expected to temper further warming. The 99.4% market-implied probability for 30°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited upside potential. Only a significant increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation earlier in the day would realistically hold the high at 29°C or allow it to exceed 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$55,561Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Вікно оскарження
Фінальний
Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts place Taipei’s daily maximum at 30°C on May 16 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, enabling surface heating to reach that threshold. Current observational trends and model consensus support this value as the most probable outcome, with afternoon showers expected to temper further warming. The 99.4% market-implied probability for 30°C reflects traders’ assessment of these stable conditions and limited upside potential. Only a significant increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation earlier in the day would realistically hold the high at 29°C or allow it to exceed 31°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання