Current Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on May 18 project a daily maximum near 31°C under a dominant subtropical ridge driving southerly flow, reduced cloud cover, and strong afternoon insolation across the urban basin. Ensemble models show modest spread between 30–32°C depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or isolated showers, which explains the near-even market split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology places typical highs around 29°C, so the current warm bias stems from persistent high pressure rather than anomalous warmth. Final resolution hinges on official station readings at Songshan Airport, with the next model update expected later today.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
31°C 26%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
18%
31°C
26%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 26%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$869 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$750 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$177 Обс.
1%
27°C
$285 Обс.
1%
28°C
$140 Обс.
5%
29°C
$181 Обс.
11%
30°C
$187 Обс.
18%
31°C
$211 Обс.
26%
32°C
$137 Обс.
25%
33°C
$265 Обс.
9%
34°C or higher
$367 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on May 18 project a daily maximum near 31°C under a dominant subtropical ridge driving southerly flow, reduced cloud cover, and strong afternoon insolation across the urban basin. Ensemble models show modest spread between 30–32°C depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or isolated showers, which explains the near-even market split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology places typical highs around 29°C, so the current warm bias stems from persistent high pressure rather than anomalous warmth. Final resolution hinges on official station readings at Songshan Airport, with the next model update expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,568Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on May 18 project a daily maximum near 31°C under a dominant subtropical ridge driving southerly flow, reduced cloud cover, and strong afternoon insolation across the urban basin. Ensemble models show modest spread between 30–32°C depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or isolated showers, which explains the near-even market split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology places typical highs around 29°C, so the current warm bias stems from persistent high pressure rather than anomalous warmth. Final resolution hinges on official station readings at Songshan Airport, with the next model update expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,568Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on May 18 project a daily maximum near 31°C under a dominant subtropical ridge driving southerly flow, reduced cloud cover, and strong afternoon insolation across the urban basin. Ensemble models show modest spread between 30–32°C depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or isolated showers, which explains the near-even market split between the 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology places typical highs around 29°C, so the current warm bias stems from persistent high pressure rather than anomalous warmth. Final resolution hinges on official station readings at Songshan Airport, with the next model update expected later today.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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