Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Miami high temperature of 88-89°F at 46.5% implied probability for May 16, closely tracking National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting afternoon peaks in this range under persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F. Recent observations show May 14 highs reaching 88°F with similar humid conditions, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 87°F, while sea breeze development and isolated showers cap potential for 90°F+. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement with low precipitation odds (20-30%), though minor convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F. Evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen trader positioning before observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 8%
НОВЕ
$10,482 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,482 Обс.
May 16, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 8%
НОВЕ
$10,482 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,482 Обс.
May 16, 2026
79°F or below
$802 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,067 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,377 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$920 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$938 Обс.
21%
88-89°F
$1,281 Обс.
42%
90-91°F
$1,275 Обс.
25%
92-93°F
$940 Обс.
8%
94-95°F
$402 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$284 Обс.
1%
98°F or higher
$584 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Miami high temperature of 88-89°F at 46.5% implied probability for May 16, closely tracking National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting afternoon peaks in this range under persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F. Recent observations show May 14 highs reaching 88°F with similar humid conditions, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 87°F, while sea breeze development and isolated showers cap potential for 90°F+. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement with low precipitation odds (20-30%), though minor convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F. Evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen trader positioning before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,482Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Miami high temperature of 88-89°F at 46.5% implied probability for May 16, closely tracking National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting afternoon peaks in this range under persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F. Recent observations show May 14 highs reaching 88°F with similar humid conditions, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 87°F, while sea breeze development and isolated showers cap potential for 90°F+. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement with low precipitation odds (20-30%), though minor convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F. Evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen trader positioning before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$10,482Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Miami high temperature of 88-89°F at 46.5% implied probability for May 16, closely tracking National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting afternoon peaks in this range under persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F. Recent observations show May 14 highs reaching 88°F with similar humid conditions, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 87°F, while sea breeze development and isolated showers cap potential for 90°F+. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement with low precipitation odds (20-30%), though minor convective activity could trim peaks by 1-2°F. Evening forecast updates from NOAA may sharpen trader positioning before observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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