National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 66°F in Denver on May 17, driven by a cooler air mass arriving behind a frontal passage that ended the recent heat wave. This positions the 71°F-or-below outcome as the clear market leader at 86.5% implied probability, well below the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and reduced insolation further limit daytime heating from overnight lows in the upper 40s. Traders will watch the next model updates and early observations at Denver International Airport for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 86%
72-73°F 8%
74-75°F 1.1%
76-77°F <1%
$20,724 Обс.
$20,724 Обс.
71°F or below
86%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 86%
72-73°F 8%
74-75°F 1.1%
76-77°F <1%
$20,724 Обс.
$20,724 Обс.
71°F or below
86%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 66°F in Denver on May 17, driven by a cooler air mass arriving behind a frontal passage that ended the recent heat wave. This positions the 71°F-or-below outcome as the clear market leader at 86.5% implied probability, well below the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and reduced insolation further limit daytime heating from overnight lows in the upper 40s. Traders will watch the next model updates and early observations at Denver International Airport for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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