Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus project Tokyo’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 17 °C at the official observation station. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals near 17 °C and reflects a stable high-pressure pattern delivering clear skies that promote efficient radiative cooling under light winds and negligible precipitation risk. Traders have therefore concentrated nearly all probability on the 17 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected low-level cloud cover develops overnight, trapping heat and lifting the low to 18 °C, or if clearer conditions allow a deeper dip toward 16 °C—both low-probability shifts given the narrow forecast uncertainty range. The final JMA data release will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
17°C 99.6%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$72,644 Обс.
$72,644 Обс.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.6%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$72,644 Обс.
$72,644 Обс.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$5,309 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$9,581 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$8,278 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$4,159 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$5,358 Обс.
100%
18°C
$3,787 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$13,509 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$14,438 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$523 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$779 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,921 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus project Tokyo’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 17 °C at the official observation station. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals near 17 °C and reflects a stable high-pressure pattern delivering clear skies that promote efficient radiative cooling under light winds and negligible precipitation risk. Traders have therefore concentrated nearly all probability on the 17 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected low-level cloud cover develops overnight, trapping heat and lifting the low to 18 °C, or if clearer conditions allow a deeper dip toward 16 °C—both low-probability shifts given the narrow forecast uncertainty range. The final JMA data release will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$72,644Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus project Tokyo’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 17 °C at the official observation station. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals near 17 °C and reflects a stable high-pressure pattern delivering clear skies that promote efficient radiative cooling under light winds and negligible precipitation risk. Traders have therefore concentrated nearly all probability on the 17 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected low-level cloud cover develops overnight, trapping heat and lifting the low to 18 °C, or if clearer conditions allow a deeper dip toward 16 °C—both low-probability shifts given the narrow forecast uncertainty range. The final JMA data release will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$72,644Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus project Tokyo’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 17 °C at the official observation station. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals near 17 °C and reflects a stable high-pressure pattern delivering clear skies that promote efficient radiative cooling under light winds and negligible precipitation risk. Traders have therefore concentrated nearly all probability on the 17 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected low-level cloud cover develops overnight, trapping heat and lifting the low to 18 °C, or if clearer conditions allow a deeper dip toward 16 °C—both low-probability shifts given the narrow forecast uncertainty range. The final JMA data release will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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