Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for May 19 near 19–21°C, driven by persistent warm Pacific maritime air ahead of the advancing Baiu front. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-spring climatology where typical lows range 14–18°C but have trended higher in recent years due to urban heat retention. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering around 20°C, supporting the tight market distribution across the 19–21°C outcomes. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours could refine the exact minimum and shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns deviate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 19?
19°C 35%
18°C 22%
20°C 15%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
24%
20°C
23%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 22%
20°C 15%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
$118 Обс.
1%
15°C
$136 Обс.
1%
16°C
$56 Обс.
1%
17°C
$15 Обс.
4%
18°C
$0 Обс.
22%
19°C
$6 Обс.
24%
20°C
$33 Обс.
23%
21°C
$21 Обс.
20%
22°C
$23 Обс.
5%
23°C
$57 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$207 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for May 19 near 19–21°C, driven by persistent warm Pacific maritime air ahead of the advancing Baiu front. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-spring climatology where typical lows range 14–18°C but have trended higher in recent years due to urban heat retention. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering around 20°C, supporting the tight market distribution across the 19–21°C outcomes. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours could refine the exact minimum and shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$672Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for May 19 near 19–21°C, driven by persistent warm Pacific maritime air ahead of the advancing Baiu front. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-spring climatology where typical lows range 14–18°C but have trended higher in recent years due to urban heat retention. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering around 20°C, supporting the tight market distribution across the 19–21°C outcomes. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours could refine the exact minimum and shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$672Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo’s minimum temperature for May 19 near 19–21°C, driven by persistent warm Pacific maritime air ahead of the advancing Baiu front. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-spring climatology where typical lows range 14–18°C but have trended higher in recent years due to urban heat retention. Model spread remains modest, with most runs clustering around 20°C, supporting the tight market distribution across the 19–21°C outcomes. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours could refine the exact minimum and shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns deviate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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