Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
17°C 24%
16°C 22%
18°C 18%
19°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
28%
17°C
24%
18°C
18%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 24%
16°C 22%
18°C 18%
19°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$300 Обс.
2%
15°C
$121 Обс.
2%
16°C
$35 Обс.
28%
17°C
$44 Обс.
24%
18°C
$53 Обс.
18%
19°C
$67 Обс.
9%
20°C
$71 Обс.
2%
21°C
$217 Обс.
1%
22°C
$85 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$397 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$269 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,657Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,657Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under a strengthening surface high, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 minimum near 16–17 °C. Light northwesterly flow off the Kanto Plain and limited cloud cover should allow temperatures to drop to the mid-teens before dawn, yet modest moisture advection from the Pacific could limit further cooling to the low 17 °C range. Historical climatology for mid-May shows the 14–18 °C envelope as typical, with the current tight market spread reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any frontal passage rather than strong directional bias. Updated 00 UTC model cycles tomorrow will likely sharpen the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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