Current ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models indicate Miami's overnight low on May 19 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, driven by warm Gulf Stream sea surface temperatures that restrict radiative cooling while a weak mid-level trough promotes modest boundary-layer mixing. This setup supports the market's 41% implied probability on 73°F or below as the leading outcome, tempered by the 25.5% weighting on 78-79°F amid historical May climatology showing average lows near 73-75°F at Miami International Airport. Traders await the next Global Forecast System update for any adjustments in wind flow or dew-point profiles that could alter the minimum temperature observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 19?
73°F or below 41%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
73°F or below
41%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
73°F or below 41%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
73°F or below
$3 Обс.
41%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
14%
76-77°F
$8 Обс.
14%
78-79°F
$11 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
8%
82-83°F
$13 Обс.
19%
84-85°F
$10 Обс.
18%
86-87°F
$20 Обс.
7%
88-89°F
$618 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$271 Обс.
1%
92°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models indicate Miami's overnight low on May 19 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, driven by warm Gulf Stream sea surface temperatures that restrict radiative cooling while a weak mid-level trough promotes modest boundary-layer mixing. This setup supports the market's 41% implied probability on 73°F or below as the leading outcome, tempered by the 25.5% weighting on 78-79°F amid historical May climatology showing average lows near 73-75°F at Miami International Airport. Traders await the next Global Forecast System update for any adjustments in wind flow or dew-point profiles that could alter the minimum temperature observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$953Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models indicate Miami's overnight low on May 19 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, driven by warm Gulf Stream sea surface temperatures that restrict radiative cooling while a weak mid-level trough promotes modest boundary-layer mixing. This setup supports the market's 41% implied probability on 73°F or below as the leading outcome, tempered by the 25.5% weighting on 78-79°F amid historical May climatology showing average lows near 73-75°F at Miami International Airport. Traders await the next Global Forecast System update for any adjustments in wind flow or dew-point profiles that could alter the minimum temperature observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$953Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models indicate Miami's overnight low on May 19 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, driven by warm Gulf Stream sea surface temperatures that restrict radiative cooling while a weak mid-level trough promotes modest boundary-layer mixing. This setup supports the market's 41% implied probability on 73°F or below as the leading outcome, tempered by the 25.5% weighting on 78-79°F amid historical May climatology showing average lows near 73-75°F at Miami International Airport. Traders await the next Global Forecast System update for any adjustments in wind flow or dew-point profiles that could alter the minimum temperature observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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