Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models converge on a nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. This alignment underpins the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for exactly 14°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high skill at this lead time, though one-degree precision remains sensitive to minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Traders weigh these factors against historical May climatology, where overnight lows near 14°C occur frequently during stable high-pressure regimes. Any late-model run showing increased humidity or unexpected wind variability could still nudge the final reading toward 13°C or 15°C before official verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,588 Обс.
$44,588 Обс.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,588 Обс.
$44,588 Обс.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$2,664 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$4,107 Обс.
100%
15°C
$17,751 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$2,301 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$2,078 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,605 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,915 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,686 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,464 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,090 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,928 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models converge on a nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. This alignment underpins the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for exactly 14°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high skill at this lead time, though one-degree precision remains sensitive to minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Traders weigh these factors against historical May climatology, where overnight lows near 14°C occur frequently during stable high-pressure regimes. Any late-model run showing increased humidity or unexpected wind variability could still nudge the final reading toward 13°C or 15°C before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$44,588Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models converge on a nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. This alignment underpins the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for exactly 14°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high skill at this lead time, though one-degree precision remains sensitive to minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Traders weigh these factors against historical May climatology, where overnight lows near 14°C occur frequently during stable high-pressure regimes. Any late-model run showing increased humidity or unexpected wind variability could still nudge the final reading toward 13°C or 15°C before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$44,588Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSICurrent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble models converge on a nighttime low of 14°C in Seoul on May 16, with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. This alignment underpins the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for exactly 14°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction exhibits high skill at this lead time, though one-degree precision remains sensitive to minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Traders weigh these factors against historical May climatology, where overnight lows near 14°C occur frequently during stable high-pressure regimes. Any late-model run showing increased humidity or unexpected wind variability could still nudge the final reading toward 13°C or 15°C before official verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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