Latest Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance places Seoul’s May 18 overnight low squarely between 14 °C and 15 °C, keeping those two contracts nearly tied at roughly 26 % and 25.5 % implied probability. Typical mid-May radiative cooling under light winds and partial clear skies supports minimums in this narrow band, while above-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures this season limit deeper nocturnal drops below 13 °C. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud deck remain the chief source of uncertainty separating the two leading outcomes; traders are monitoring the final 18-hour KMA update and ECMWF/GFS 06Z runs for any last adjustment before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
14°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
12%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
11°C or below
$122 Обс.
1%
12°C
$81 Обс.
4%
13°C
$32 Обс.
11%
14°C
$31 Обс.
24%
15°C
$37 Обс.
24%
16°C
$15 Обс.
12%
17°C
$369 Обс.
3%
18°C
$167 Обс.
1%
19°C
$112 Обс.
1%
20°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$152 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance places Seoul’s May 18 overnight low squarely between 14 °C and 15 °C, keeping those two contracts nearly tied at roughly 26 % and 25.5 % implied probability. Typical mid-May radiative cooling under light winds and partial clear skies supports minimums in this narrow band, while above-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures this season limit deeper nocturnal drops below 13 °C. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud deck remain the chief source of uncertainty separating the two leading outcomes; traders are monitoring the final 18-hour KMA update and ECMWF/GFS 06Z runs for any last adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,244Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance places Seoul’s May 18 overnight low squarely between 14 °C and 15 °C, keeping those two contracts nearly tied at roughly 26 % and 25.5 % implied probability. Typical mid-May radiative cooling under light winds and partial clear skies supports minimums in this narrow band, while above-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures this season limit deeper nocturnal drops below 13 °C. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud deck remain the chief source of uncertainty separating the two leading outcomes; traders are monitoring the final 18-hour KMA update and ECMWF/GFS 06Z runs for any last adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,244Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSILatest Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance places Seoul’s May 18 overnight low squarely between 14 °C and 15 °C, keeping those two contracts nearly tied at roughly 26 % and 25.5 % implied probability. Typical mid-May radiative cooling under light winds and partial clear skies supports minimums in this narrow band, while above-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures this season limit deeper nocturnal drops below 13 °C. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud deck remain the chief source of uncertainty separating the two leading outcomes; traders are monitoring the final 18-hour KMA update and ECMWF/GFS 06Z runs for any last adjustment before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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