Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the latest forecast model runs from AEMET and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature of 20–21°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 16, amid a cooler-than-normal pattern for central Spain. AEMET's May 8 weekly outlook highlighted sub-climatological temperatures (versus May average highs near 23°C) due to northerly flows and potential showers early in the 11–17 May period, suppressing diurnal heating. Model ensembles show tight clustering around these values, though minor divergences persist from variable cloud cover or wind shear; final observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Watch afternoon updates from NOAA or AEMET for potential shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
21°C 38%
20°C 34%
22°C 15%
19°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,450 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,450 Обс.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
38%
22°C
15%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 38%
20°C 34%
22°C 15%
19°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,450 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,450 Обс.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$2,209 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$748 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$2,227 Обс.
1%
18°C
$1,973 Обс.
3%
19°C
$1,087 Обс.
13%
20°C
$878 Обс.
34%
21°C
$1,110 Обс.
38%
22°C
$647 Обс.
15%
23°C
$570 Обс.
1%
24°C
$809 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,191 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the latest forecast model runs from AEMET and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature of 20–21°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 16, amid a cooler-than-normal pattern for central Spain. AEMET's May 8 weekly outlook highlighted sub-climatological temperatures (versus May average highs near 23°C) due to northerly flows and potential showers early in the 11–17 May period, suppressing diurnal heating. Model ensembles show tight clustering around these values, though minor divergences persist from variable cloud cover or wind shear; final observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Watch afternoon updates from NOAA or AEMET for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,450Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the latest forecast model runs from AEMET and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature of 20–21°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 16, amid a cooler-than-normal pattern for central Spain. AEMET's May 8 weekly outlook highlighted sub-climatological temperatures (versus May average highs near 23°C) due to northerly flows and potential showers early in the 11–17 May period, suppressing diurnal heating. Model ensembles show tight clustering around these values, though minor divergences persist from variable cloud cover or wind shear; final observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Watch afternoon updates from NOAA or AEMET for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,450Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the latest forecast model runs from AEMET and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature of 20–21°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 16, amid a cooler-than-normal pattern for central Spain. AEMET's May 8 weekly outlook highlighted sub-climatological temperatures (versus May average highs near 23°C) due to northerly flows and potential showers early in the 11–17 May period, suppressing diurnal heating. Model ensembles show tight clustering around these values, though minor divergences persist from variable cloud cover or wind shear; final observations tomorrow will resolve amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Watch afternoon updates from NOAA or AEMET for potential shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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