Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on May 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 19?
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
8%
74°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$70 Обс.
1%
58-59°F
$331 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$9 Обс.
7%
62-63°F
$25 Обс.
13%
64-65°F
$22 Обс.
13%
66-67°F
$18 Обс.
23%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
16%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
8%
74°F or higher
$25 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$504Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$504Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on May 19 driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts currently cluster the daily minimum between 64°F and 71°F, with the tight spread among leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical May climatology shows average lows near 55°F, yet the current setup favors readings several degrees above normal. Updated short-range runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold, particularly if high pressure strengthens or precipitation develops and alters the temperature trajectory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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