Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
62-63°F 13%
НОВЕ
$10,207 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,207 Обс.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
62-63°F 13%
НОВЕ
$10,207 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,207 Обс.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$706 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$367 Обс.
1%
58-59°F
$1,199 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$632 Обс.
4%
62-63°F
$1,189 Обс.
13%
64-65°F
$712 Обс.
29%
66-67°F
$693 Обс.
32%
68-69°F
$752 Обс.
20%
70-71°F
$1,664 Обс.
2%
72-73°F
$641 Обс.
1%
74°F or higher
$1,674 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,207Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$10,207Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs projecting New York City's high temperature at LaGuardia Airport on May 15 in the mid-60s°F range, capped by lingering moisture from May 13-14 rainfall, scattered showers (60-70% probability), and mostly cloudy skies reducing solar insolation. The razor-thin split between 66-67°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (29.0%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon clearing—persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from showers favor the lower bin, while partial breaks and southerly winds (10-20 mph) mixing milder Atlantic air could push toward the upper. Below-normal temps align with a cool spring pattern; watch NWS updates today for refined shower timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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