Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 44%
14°C 29%
12°C 18%
15°C 5.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
18%
13°C
44%
14°C
29%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 44%
14°C 29%
12°C 18%
15°C 5.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
8°C or below
$1,033 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$279 Обс.
1%
10°C
$217 Обс.
2%
11°C
$91 Обс.
3%
12°C
$347 Обс.
18%
13°C
$450 Обс.
44%
14°C
$181 Обс.
29%
15°C
$123 Обс.
6%
16°C
$130 Обс.
1%
17°C
$92 Обс.
1%
18°C or higher
$479 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,422Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,422Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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