Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 Обс.
$178,825 Обс.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 Обс.
$178,825 Обс.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
$13,220 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$9,008 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$23,251 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$16,726 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$17,716 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$18,376 Обс.
Yes
68-69°F
$23,494 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$23,432 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$14,220 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$5,476 Обс.
No
76°F or higher
$13,908 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$178,825Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$178,825Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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