Recent National Weather Service model runs point to a peak temperature near 86°F in New York City on May 17 under clear skies, a building high-pressure ridge, and light southwesterly flow that favors modest afternoon warming. This consensus places the 86-87°F bin at the front of trader positioning, while the tight spread across the 84-89°F range reflects lingering model uncertainty around exact timing of the daily maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official reporting sites. Seasonal solar angles and soil moisture conditions support above-normal readings for mid-May, yet small shifts in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the official LaGuardia or Central Park reading into an adjacent bucket before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 7.1%
НОВЕ
$14,268 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,268 Обс.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 7.1%
НОВЕ
$14,268 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,268 Обс.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$4,624 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$3,508 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$1,599 Обс.
6%
84-85°F
$753 Обс.
26%
86-87°F
$964 Обс.
33%
88-89°F
$556 Обс.
26%
90-91°F
$658 Обс.
7%
92-93°F
$430 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$604 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$585 Обс.
<1%
98°F or higher
$504 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs point to a peak temperature near 86°F in New York City on May 17 under clear skies, a building high-pressure ridge, and light southwesterly flow that favors modest afternoon warming. This consensus places the 86-87°F bin at the front of trader positioning, while the tight spread across the 84-89°F range reflects lingering model uncertainty around exact timing of the daily maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official reporting sites. Seasonal solar angles and soil moisture conditions support above-normal readings for mid-May, yet small shifts in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the official LaGuardia or Central Park reading into an adjacent bucket before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,268Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs point to a peak temperature near 86°F in New York City on May 17 under clear skies, a building high-pressure ridge, and light southwesterly flow that favors modest afternoon warming. This consensus places the 86-87°F bin at the front of trader positioning, while the tight spread across the 84-89°F range reflects lingering model uncertainty around exact timing of the daily maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official reporting sites. Seasonal solar angles and soil moisture conditions support above-normal readings for mid-May, yet small shifts in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the official LaGuardia or Central Park reading into an adjacent bucket before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$14,268Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service model runs point to a peak temperature near 86°F in New York City on May 17 under clear skies, a building high-pressure ridge, and light southwesterly flow that favors modest afternoon warming. This consensus places the 86-87°F bin at the front of trader positioning, while the tight spread across the 84-89°F range reflects lingering model uncertainty around exact timing of the daily maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official reporting sites. Seasonal solar angles and soil moisture conditions support above-normal readings for mid-May, yet small shifts in wind or cloud cover could still nudge the official LaGuardia or Central Park reading into an adjacent bucket before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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