Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum between 24°C and 27°C tomorrow under mostly cloudy skies with scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms linked to an approaching trough of low pressure. This pattern restricts solar heating through extensive cloud cover and promotes convective cooling via rainfall and elevated humidity, keeping the market-implied odds tightly balanced between the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically features highs near 28–29°C, but the current synoptic setup deviates from seasonal norms by favoring suppressed temperatures. Traders monitor updates to official model runs and HKO briefings, as any unexpected clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C before final resolution based on the Observatory’s official measurement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
28°C 16%
25°C 14.6%
$102,039 Обс.
$102,039 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
33%
28°C
16%
29°C or higher
6%
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
28°C 16%
25°C 14.6%
$102,039 Обс.
$102,039 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
33%
28°C
16%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum between 24°C and 27°C tomorrow under mostly cloudy skies with scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms linked to an approaching trough of low pressure. This pattern restricts solar heating through extensive cloud cover and promotes convective cooling via rainfall and elevated humidity, keeping the market-implied odds tightly balanced between the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically features highs near 28–29°C, but the current synoptic setup deviates from seasonal norms by favoring suppressed temperatures. Traders monitor updates to official model runs and HKO briefings, as any unexpected clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C before final resolution based on the Observatory’s official measurement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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