Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest guidance points to a daytime high of 17°C under partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds limiting diurnal heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread of 17-18°C due to differing cloud break timings in the afternoon peak window. Below climatological norms of ~21°C for mid-May, cooler upper-air patterns suppress extremes; fresh hourly observations from today and overnight will clarify the balance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
18°C 39%
17°C 38%
19°C 16%
16°C 8%
НОВЕ
$13,068 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,068 Обс.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
38%
18°C
39%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 39%
17°C 38%
19°C 16%
16°C 8%
НОВЕ
$13,068 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,068 Обс.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$877 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$773 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$1,011 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,122 Обс.
1%
15°C
$1,292 Обс.
5%
16°C
$1,336 Обс.
8%
17°C
$1,317 Обс.
38%
18°C
$1,187 Обс.
39%
19°C
$1,149 Обс.
16%
20°C
$1,974 Обс.
2%
21°C or higher
$1,946 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest guidance points to a daytime high of 17°C under partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds limiting diurnal heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread of 17-18°C due to differing cloud break timings in the afternoon peak window. Below climatological norms of ~21°C for mid-May, cooler upper-air patterns suppress extremes; fresh hourly observations from today and overnight will clarify the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,068Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest guidance points to a daytime high of 17°C under partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds limiting diurnal heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread of 17-18°C due to differing cloud break timings in the afternoon peak window. Below climatological norms of ~21°C for mid-May, cooler upper-air patterns suppress extremes; fresh hourly observations from today and overnight will clarify the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,068Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 15, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest guidance points to a daytime high of 17°C under partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds limiting diurnal heating, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread of 17-18°C due to differing cloud break timings in the afternoon peak window. Below climatological norms of ~21°C for mid-May, cooler upper-air patterns suppress extremes; fresh hourly observations from today and overnight will clarify the balance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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