MetService's latest forecast models project a maximum temperature of 12-13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 45.5% and 12°C at 29.5% implied probabilities. Persistent southerly winds, stemming from high pressure over the South Island, are channeling cool maritime air across the region, capping highs amid partly cloudy skies and low sun angles typical of mid-May. Yesterday's observed airport high of 13.9°C and current readings around 11°C reinforce this positioning, slightly below the long-term May average of 15°C. Model ensembles show tight uncertainty of ±1-2°C, with potential for 14°C if winds ease; watch for afternoon updates from MetService as the resolution window approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 45%
12°C 31%
14°C 14%
11°C 5.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
31%
13°C
45%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 45%
12°C 31%
14°C 14%
11°C 5.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
6°C or below
$911 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$865 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$450 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$952 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$297 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$659 Обс.
5%
12°C
$956 Обс.
31%
13°C
$776 Обс.
45%
14°C
$1,347 Обс.
14%
15°C
$1,161 Обс.
2%
16°C or higher
$951 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast models project a maximum temperature of 12-13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 45.5% and 12°C at 29.5% implied probabilities. Persistent southerly winds, stemming from high pressure over the South Island, are channeling cool maritime air across the region, capping highs amid partly cloudy skies and low sun angles typical of mid-May. Yesterday's observed airport high of 13.9°C and current readings around 11°C reinforce this positioning, slightly below the long-term May average of 15°C. Model ensembles show tight uncertainty of ±1-2°C, with potential for 14°C if winds ease; watch for afternoon updates from MetService as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,317Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast models project a maximum temperature of 12-13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 45.5% and 12°C at 29.5% implied probabilities. Persistent southerly winds, stemming from high pressure over the South Island, are channeling cool maritime air across the region, capping highs amid partly cloudy skies and low sun angles typical of mid-May. Yesterday's observed airport high of 13.9°C and current readings around 11°C reinforce this positioning, slightly below the long-term May average of 15°C. Model ensembles show tight uncertainty of ±1-2°C, with potential for 14°C if winds ease; watch for afternoon updates from MetService as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,317Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast models project a maximum temperature of 12-13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 13°C at 45.5% and 12°C at 29.5% implied probabilities. Persistent southerly winds, stemming from high pressure over the South Island, are channeling cool maritime air across the region, capping highs amid partly cloudy skies and low sun angles typical of mid-May. Yesterday's observed airport high of 13.9°C and current readings around 11°C reinforce this positioning, slightly below the long-term May average of 15°C. Model ensembles show tight uncertainty of ±1-2°C, with potential for 14°C if winds ease; watch for afternoon updates from MetService as the resolution window approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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