MetService's latest forecast, issued late Thursday, projects a 13°C high for Wellington on May 17 under mainly fine skies with southeasterlies and a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 13°C and 14°C as co-favorites in the closely contested market. Persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages, combined with a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Island, caps daytime heating, while Wellington's coastal exposure to Cook Strait winds adds variability—light winds could allow brief sea breeze warming to 14-15°C, but cloudier pockets or gusts may suppress peaks to 12°C. NIWA seasonal outlooks align with near-average May highs around 14°C, but short-range model ensembles reflect 1-2°C uncertainty ahead of Saturday's update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 47%
13°C 32%
15°C 11%
12°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
10%
13°C
32%
14°C
47%
15°C
11%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 32%
15°C 11%
12°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$638 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$340 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$119 Обс.
4%
12°C
$33 Обс.
10%
13°C
$65 Обс.
32%
14°C
$131 Обс.
47%
15°C
$121 Обс.
11%
16°C
$112 Обс.
3%
17°C
$22 Обс.
1%
18°C or higher
$126 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late Thursday, projects a 13°C high for Wellington on May 17 under mainly fine skies with southeasterlies and a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 13°C and 14°C as co-favorites in the closely contested market. Persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages, combined with a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Island, caps daytime heating, while Wellington's coastal exposure to Cook Strait winds adds variability—light winds could allow brief sea breeze warming to 14-15°C, but cloudier pockets or gusts may suppress peaks to 12°C. NIWA seasonal outlooks align with near-average May highs around 14°C, but short-range model ensembles reflect 1-2°C uncertainty ahead of Saturday's update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,773Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late Thursday, projects a 13°C high for Wellington on May 17 under mainly fine skies with southeasterlies and a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 13°C and 14°C as co-favorites in the closely contested market. Persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages, combined with a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Island, caps daytime heating, while Wellington's coastal exposure to Cook Strait winds adds variability—light winds could allow brief sea breeze warming to 14-15°C, but cloudier pockets or gusts may suppress peaks to 12°C. NIWA seasonal outlooks align with near-average May highs around 14°C, but short-range model ensembles reflect 1-2°C uncertainty ahead of Saturday's update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,773Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNMetService's latest forecast, issued late Thursday, projects a 13°C high for Wellington on May 17 under mainly fine skies with southeasterlies and a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 13°C and 14°C as co-favorites in the closely contested market. Persistent cool southerly airflow from recent frontal passages, combined with a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Island, caps daytime heating, while Wellington's coastal exposure to Cook Strait winds adds variability—light winds could allow brief sea breeze warming to 14-15°C, but cloudier pockets or gusts may suppress peaks to 12°C. NIWA seasonal outlooks align with near-average May highs around 14°C, but short-range model ensembles reflect 1-2°C uncertainty ahead of Saturday's update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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