Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14°C (46.5%) and 13°C (34.5%) as London's highest temperature today, driven by the Met Office's morning forecast update pegging the maximum at 14°C amid light showers and cloudy skies over Greater London and Heathrow Airport. A lingering low-pressure system nearby has ushered in cool, unsettled conditions with northerly winds and scattered precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite occasional sunny spells—extending a chilly pattern from the past week where highs hovered around 10-11°C. This positions outcomes well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C, with model consensus showing limited upside potential due to persistent cloud cover. Hourly observations and afternoon updates from official monitoring sites will be key, as small shifts in shower timing could tip the peak between 13-14°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
14°C 45%
13°C 35%
15°C 15%
12°C 6%
$105,992 Обс.
$105,992 Обс.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
35%
14°C
45%
15°C
15%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 35%
15°C 15%
12°C 6%
$105,992 Обс.
$105,992 Обс.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
35%
14°C
45%
15°C
15%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14°C (46.5%) and 13°C (34.5%) as London's highest temperature today, driven by the Met Office's morning forecast update pegging the maximum at 14°C amid light showers and cloudy skies over Greater London and Heathrow Airport. A lingering low-pressure system nearby has ushered in cool, unsettled conditions with northerly winds and scattered precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite occasional sunny spells—extending a chilly pattern from the past week where highs hovered around 10-11°C. This positions outcomes well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C, with model consensus showing limited upside potential due to persistent cloud cover. Hourly observations and afternoon updates from official monitoring sites will be key, as small shifts in shower timing could tip the peak between 13-14°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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