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Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?

icon for Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?

May 14

May 15

May 16

May 14

May 15

May 16

74°F or higher 61%

72-73°F 25%

70-71°F 12%

68-69°F 3.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$27,501 Обс.

74°F or higher 61%

72-73°F 25%

70-71°F 12%

68-69°F 3.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$27,501 Обс.

55°F or below

$6,396 Обс.

<1%

56-57°F

$1,510 Обс.

<1%

58-59°F

$1,422 Обс.

<1%

60-61°F

$2,971 Обс.

<1%

62-63°F

$3,574 Обс.

<1%

64-65°F

$2,087 Обс.

1%

66-67°F

$2,333 Обс.

1%

68-69°F

$1,472 Обс.

3%

70-71°F

$1,234 Обс.

12%

72-73°F

$1,862 Обс.

25%

74°F or higher

$2,681 Обс.

61%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to a high of 74°F or higher in Chicago on May 15, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and long-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting above-normal temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s amid a developing upper-level ridge over the Midwest. This warm bias exceeds the climatological May average high of 67°F at O'Hare International Airport, bolstered by recent observations including an 80°F peak on May 4 and variable early-month highs up to 77°F per extended outlooks. Southerly winds favor warm air advection, though lake breeze effects or cloud cover introduce uncertainty; watch for updated 12Z model runs today for potential shifts ahead of official daily maximum resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$27,501
Дата завершення
May 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 59% implied probability to a high of 74°F or higher in Chicago on May 15, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and long-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting above-normal temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s amid a developing upper-level ridge over the Midwest. This warm bias exceeds the climatological May average high of 67°F at O'Hare International Airport, bolstered by recent observations including an 80°F peak on May 4 and variable early-month highs up to 77°F per extended outlooks. Southerly winds favor warm air advection, though lake breeze effects or cloud cover introduce uncertainty; watch for updated 12Z model runs today for potential shifts ahead of official daily maximum resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$27,501
Дата завершення
May 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «74°F or higher» з 61%, далі «72-73°F» з 25%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?» згенерував $27.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?» — «74°F or higher» з 61%. Наступний — «72-73°F» з 25%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.