Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 14 (99.8% implied probability), anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast and Hong Kong Observatory bulletin projecting a daytime maximum of 24°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Morning observations logged below 20°C, aligning with model consensus from recent runs showing low-level moisture suppressing convective warming and urban heat island amplification. This positioning reflects historical May patterns where similar synoptic setups cap highs around 24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing 1-2°C of late heating, though steering currents favor stability; final CMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$153,871 Обс.
$153,871 Обс.
May 14, 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$153,871 Обс.
$153,871 Обс.
May 14, 2026
24°C
$25,988 Обс.
100%
25°C
$12,409 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$16,218 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$15,628 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$29,778 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$14,465 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$6,071 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$3,679 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,152 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 14 (99.8% implied probability), anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast and Hong Kong Observatory bulletin projecting a daytime maximum of 24°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Morning observations logged below 20°C, aligning with model consensus from recent runs showing low-level moisture suppressing convective warming and urban heat island amplification. This positioning reflects historical May patterns where similar synoptic setups cap highs around 24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing 1-2°C of late heating, though steering currents favor stability; final CMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$153,871Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 14 (99.8% implied probability), anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast and Hong Kong Observatory bulletin projecting a daytime maximum of 24°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Morning observations logged below 20°C, aligning with model consensus from recent runs showing low-level moisture suppressing convective warming and urban heat island amplification. This positioning reflects historical May patterns where similar synoptic setups cap highs around 24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing 1-2°C of late heating, though steering currents favor stability; final CMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$153,871Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 14 (99.8% implied probability), anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast and Hong Kong Observatory bulletin projecting a daytime maximum of 24°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeast winds, and high humidity that limit solar heating. Morning observations logged below 20°C, aligning with model consensus from recent runs showing low-level moisture suppressing convective warming and urban heat island amplification. This positioning reflects historical May patterns where similar synoptic setups cap highs around 24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing 1-2°C of late heating, though steering currents favor stability; final CMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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