Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project a peak temperature near 37°C at Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus with 30% implied probability for that outcome amid tight clustering around 36–38°C. This reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hit 37°C under dominant high-pressure subsidence and clear skies fostering intense diurnal heating, following recent observations of 35°C on May 15. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea, potentially capping peaks at 36°C via coastal moderation, versus stronger inland advection pushing to 38°C; model disagreements on boundary layer moisture add uncertainty. Watch for afternoon NCM updates and evening model refreshes before resolution on official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
37°C 28%
36°C 21%
38°C 20%
39°C or higher 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
21%
37°C
28%
38°C
20%
39°C or higher
12%
37°C 28%
36°C 21%
38°C 20%
39°C or higher 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
$922 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$881 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$881 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,267 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$809 Обс.
1%
34°C
$68 Обс.
2%
35°C
$107 Обс.
9%
36°C
$38 Обс.
21%
37°C
$148 Обс.
28%
38°C
$23 Обс.
20%
39°C or higher
$250 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project a peak temperature near 37°C at Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus with 30% implied probability for that outcome amid tight clustering around 36–38°C. This reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hit 37°C under dominant high-pressure subsidence and clear skies fostering intense diurnal heating, following recent observations of 35°C on May 15. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea, potentially capping peaks at 36°C via coastal moderation, versus stronger inland advection pushing to 38°C; model disagreements on boundary layer moisture add uncertainty. Watch for afternoon NCM updates and evening model refreshes before resolution on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,395Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project a peak temperature near 37°C at Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus with 30% implied probability for that outcome amid tight clustering around 36–38°C. This reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hit 37°C under dominant high-pressure subsidence and clear skies fostering intense diurnal heating, following recent observations of 35°C on May 15. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea, potentially capping peaks at 36°C via coastal moderation, versus stronger inland advection pushing to 38°C; model disagreements on boundary layer moisture add uncertainty. Watch for afternoon NCM updates and evening model refreshes before resolution on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,395Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles project a peak temperature near 37°C at Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport on May 16, driving trader consensus with 30% implied probability for that outcome amid tight clustering around 36–38°C. This reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hit 37°C under dominant high-pressure subsidence and clear skies fostering intense diurnal heating, following recent observations of 35°C on May 15. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea, potentially capping peaks at 36°C via coastal moderation, versus stronger inland advection pushing to 38°C; model disagreements on boundary layer moisture add uncertainty. Watch for afternoon NCM updates and evening model refreshes before resolution on official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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