Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 Обс.
$30,017 Обс.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
Yes
40°C or higher 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,017 Обс.
$30,017 Обс.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 40°C or higher on May 15, backed by consensus across major forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local National Center for Meteorology guidance projecting peaks near 41°C under persistent high pressure. Early morning observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 28°C amid hazy sunshine, light northerly winds, and negligible cloud cover—conditions stifling sea breeze cooling typical of the Red Sea coast. Mid-May climatology supports this, with average highs of 37°C but frequent exceedances above 40°C during heat buildup. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer development or unforecasted thunderstorms, though current data renders these low-probability outliers; final airport readings expected by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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