Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's official measurement station, projects a May 16 high of 22°C amid increasing cloudiness in the morning, southwest winds gusting to 30 km/h early then lightening, and a 60% chance of late-afternoon showers—aligning with traders' 28.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C. This tight clustering reflects model ensemble uncertainty, including GFS and GEM runs showing slight spreads from cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation versus potential for earlier clearing; historical mid-May averages hover near 19°C, but recent mild conditions with today's 19°C high support the elevated outlook. Overnight model updates and hourly guidance will refine differentiation between these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 30%
22°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 18%
НОВЕ
$23,102 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,102 Обс.
May 16, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
30%
22°C
29%
23°C
18%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 30%
22°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 18%
НОВЕ
$23,102 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,102 Обс.
May 16, 2026
16°C or below
$4,679 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$2,424 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,349 Обс.
1%
19°C
$2,823 Обс.
7%
20°C
$2,139 Обс.
18%
21°C
$1,678 Обс.
30%
22°C
$954 Обс.
29%
23°C
$1,330 Обс.
18%
24°C
$1,519 Обс.
4%
25°C
$1,402 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$1,837 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's official measurement station, projects a May 16 high of 22°C amid increasing cloudiness in the morning, southwest winds gusting to 30 km/h early then lightening, and a 60% chance of late-afternoon showers—aligning with traders' 28.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C. This tight clustering reflects model ensemble uncertainty, including GFS and GEM runs showing slight spreads from cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation versus potential for earlier clearing; historical mid-May averages hover near 19°C, but recent mild conditions with today's 19°C high support the elevated outlook. Overnight model updates and hourly guidance will refine differentiation between these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,102Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's official measurement station, projects a May 16 high of 22°C amid increasing cloudiness in the morning, southwest winds gusting to 30 km/h early then lightening, and a 60% chance of late-afternoon showers—aligning with traders' 28.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C. This tight clustering reflects model ensemble uncertainty, including GFS and GEM runs showing slight spreads from cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation versus potential for earlier clearing; historical mid-May averages hover near 19°C, but recent mild conditions with today's 19°C high support the elevated outlook. Overnight model updates and hourly guidance will refine differentiation between these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$23,102Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's official measurement station, projects a May 16 high of 22°C amid increasing cloudiness in the morning, southwest winds gusting to 30 km/h early then lightening, and a 60% chance of late-afternoon showers—aligning with traders' 28.5% implied probability for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C. This tight clustering reflects model ensemble uncertainty, including GFS and GEM runs showing slight spreads from cloud-induced reductions in solar insolation versus potential for earlier clearing; historical mid-May averages hover near 19°C, but recent mild conditions with today's 19°C high support the elevated outlook. Overnight model updates and hourly guidance will refine differentiation between these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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