Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,156 Обс.
$61,156 Обс.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,156 Обс.
$61,156 Обс.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
$1,669 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,520 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,409 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,804 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,035 Обс.
No
21°C
$6,983 Обс.
No
22°C
$9,452 Обс.
No
23°C
$7,891 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$10,043 Обс.
No
25°C
$6,274 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$7,077 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,156Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$61,156Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання