Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature for May 15, driven by the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory’s surface network. This reading matches real-time station data under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Regional forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and neighboring agencies converged on this exact peak in the final 24 hours before observation, eliminating meaningful uncertainty. Historical May climatology for the city shows typical maxima between 25°C and 29°C, placing the observed value squarely within normal variability. A data revision or station anomaly would be required to shift the outcome, yet such adjustments are exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$289,823 Обс.
$289,823 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$289,823 Обс.
$289,823 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,197 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,451 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$3,796 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$30,234 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$69,240 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$87,800 Обс.
100%
28°C
$45,089 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,808 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature for May 15, driven by the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory’s surface network. This reading matches real-time station data under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Regional forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and neighboring agencies converged on this exact peak in the final 24 hours before observation, eliminating meaningful uncertainty. Historical May climatology for the city shows typical maxima between 25°C and 29°C, placing the observed value squarely within normal variability. A data revision or station anomaly would be required to shift the outcome, yet such adjustments are exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$289,823Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature for May 15, driven by the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory’s surface network. This reading matches real-time station data under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Regional forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and neighboring agencies converged on this exact peak in the final 24 hours before observation, eliminating meaningful uncertainty. Historical May climatology for the city shows typical maxima between 25°C and 29°C, placing the observed value squarely within normal variability. A data revision or station anomaly would be required to shift the outcome, yet such adjustments are exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$289,823Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 27°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature for May 15, driven by the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory’s surface network. This reading matches real-time station data under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating while preventing significant cloud cover or precipitation. Regional forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and neighboring agencies converged on this exact peak in the final 24 hours before observation, eliminating meaningful uncertainty. Historical May climatology for the city shows typical maxima between 25°C and 29°C, placing the observed value squarely within normal variability. A data revision or station anomaly would be required to shift the outcome, yet such adjustments are exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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