Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C or 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16, each at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast amid a cool autumn air mass. Over the past week, southerly winds have advected polar air from Patagonia, yielding fresher-than-average conditions with cold mornings and subdued highs around 15-16°C, as seen in recent SMN bulletins. For May 16, model ensembles from SMN and global systems like ECMWF show consensus peaks of 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting solar insolation; 13°C edges if persistent overcast, 14°C with afternoon clearing. Typical May highs near 18°C are suppressed by this synoptic pattern, though new SMN updates on May 15 could refine the 1-2°C spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
15°C 32%
14°C 26%
16°C 21%
13°C 6.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
6%
14°C
26%
15°C
32%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 32%
14°C 26%
16°C 21%
13°C 6.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
$1,440 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$159 Обс.
1%
12°C
$177 Обс.
4%
13°C
$89 Обс.
6%
14°C
$109 Обс.
26%
15°C
$89 Обс.
32%
16°C
$216 Обс.
21%
17°C
$531 Обс.
5%
18°C
$659 Обс.
3%
19°C
$351 Обс.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,065 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C or 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16, each at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast amid a cool autumn air mass. Over the past week, southerly winds have advected polar air from Patagonia, yielding fresher-than-average conditions with cold mornings and subdued highs around 15-16°C, as seen in recent SMN bulletins. For May 16, model ensembles from SMN and global systems like ECMWF show consensus peaks of 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting solar insolation; 13°C edges if persistent overcast, 14°C with afternoon clearing. Typical May highs near 18°C are suppressed by this synoptic pattern, though new SMN updates on May 15 could refine the 1-2°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,636Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C or 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16, each at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast amid a cool autumn air mass. Over the past week, southerly winds have advected polar air from Patagonia, yielding fresher-than-average conditions with cold mornings and subdued highs around 15-16°C, as seen in recent SMN bulletins. For May 16, model ensembles from SMN and global systems like ECMWF show consensus peaks of 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting solar insolation; 13°C edges if persistent overcast, 14°C with afternoon clearing. Typical May highs near 18°C are suppressed by this synoptic pattern, though new SMN updates on May 15 could refine the 1-2°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$4,636Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C or 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16, each at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast amid a cool autumn air mass. Over the past week, southerly winds have advected polar air from Patagonia, yielding fresher-than-average conditions with cold mornings and subdued highs around 15-16°C, as seen in recent SMN bulletins. For May 16, model ensembles from SMN and global systems like ECMWF show consensus peaks of 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting solar insolation; 13°C edges if persistent overcast, 14°C with afternoon clearing. Typical May highs near 18°C are suppressed by this synoptic pattern, though new SMN updates on May 15 could refine the 1-2°C spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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